Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions...
CHF 65.75
CHF 65.75
SKU: 9781138592384
Product Type: Books
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Author: Brennen Fagan
Format: Paperback
Language: English
Subtotal: CHF 65.75
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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History by Fagan, Brennen

Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

CHF 65.75

Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

CHF 65.75
Author: Brennen Fagan
Format: Paperback
Language: English

Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgements and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications.

Key Features:

  • This book demonstrates how modern statistical techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions.
  • It examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern scholars and historical actors.
  • It combines historical narrative, mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history.
  • It provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity and rigour of works of counterfactual history.
  • It is written in a manner accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or Statistics.


  • Author: Brennen Fagan, Ian Horwood, Niall MacKay
    Publisher: CRC Press
    Published: 09/27/2023
    Pages: 228
    Binding Type: Paperback
    Weight: 0.62lbs
    Size: 8.50h x 5.50w x 0.51d
    ISBN: 9781138592384

    This title is not returnable

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