Secular Cycles by Turchin, Peter
Secular Cycles by Turchin, Peter

Secular Cycles

Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods...
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
SKU: 9780691136967
Product Type: Books
Please hurry! Only 471 left in stock
Author: Peter Turchin
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Subtotal: $226.50
10 customers are viewing this product
Secular Cycles by Turchin, Peter

Secular Cycles

$226.50
Secular Cycles by Turchin, Peter

Secular Cycles

$226.50
Author: Peter Turchin
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Description

Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failure, endemic sociopolitical instability, and territorial loss. Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov explore the dynamics and causal connections between such demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies and offer detailed explanations for these long-term oscillations--what the authors call secular cycles.


Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications.

An indispensable and groundbreaking resource for a wide variety of social scientists, Secular Cycles will interest practitioners of economic history, historical sociology, complexity studies, and demography.

Author: Peter Turchin, Sergey A. Nefedov
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Published: 08/09/2009
Pages: 360
Binding Type: Hardcover
Weight: 1.46lbs
Size: 9.52h x 6.42w x 1.08d
ISBN: 9780691136967


Review Citation(s):
Chronicle of Higher Education 09/04/2009 pg. 16

About the Author
Peter Turchin is professor of ecology and evolutionary biology and adjunct professor of mathematics at the University of Connecticut. Sergey A. Nefedov is senior research scientist at the Institute of History and Archaeology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Ural Branch.
Shipping & Return

Returns Policy

You may return most new, unopened items within 30 days of delivery for a full refund. We'll also pay the return shipping costs if the return is a result of our error (you received an incorrect or defective item, etc.).

You should expect to receive your refund within four weeks of giving your package to the return shipper, however, in many cases you will receive a refund more quickly. This time period includes the transit time for us to receive your return from the shipper (5 to 10 business days), the time it takes us to process your return once we receive it (3 to 5 business days), and the time it takes your bank to process our refund request (5 to 10 business days).

If you need to return an item, simply login to your account, view the order using the "Complete Orders" link under the My Account menu and click the Return Item(s) button. We'll notify you via e-mail of your refund once we've received and processed the returned item.

Shipping

We can ship to virtually any address in the world. Note that there are restrictions on some products, and some products cannot be shipped to international destinations.

When you place an order, we will estimate shipping and delivery dates for you based on the availability of your items and the shipping options you choose. Depending on the shipping provider you choose, shipping date estimates may appear on the shipping quotes page.

Please also note that the shipping rates for many items we sell are weight-based. The weight of any such item can be found on its detail page. To reflect the policies of the shipping companies we use, all weights will be rounded up to the next full pound.

Review

Related Products

Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD
Example product title
$226.50 AUD
$226.50 AUD

Recently Viewed Products