Democracy on the Edge: The Trump Elections and the Future of American Politics

A provocative and timely examination of how the American political parties have brought us to a crossroads for democracy--and where these new paths lead for the fragile American republic.

Our recent elections have been anything but normal. In Democracy on the Edge, leading political scientists John Kenneth White and Matthew R. Kerbel unravel the elections of 2020, 2022, and 2024 to show how each represented a flashpoint in the reordering of political priorities and electoral coalitions. The consequences have the potential to redefine our politics and shape our democracy for years to come. In 2020, American voters temporarily removed an authoritarian leader, only for this leader to instigate an insurrection attempt on January 6, 2021. The midterm election of 2022 broke with precedent on the basis of the public's response to the historic overturning of Roe v. Wade and the fallout from J6, as voters rejected election deniers and MAGA candidates across the board. In 2024, however, voters could not reject this threat to democracy a third time, and Trump's return to the White House has instead left the country at a crossroads and a moment of peril.

In unpacking recent electoral cycles and placing them in broader historical context, White and Kerbel show that both major parties face unique difficulties. After Barack Obama's election, Democrats believed they were on the cusp of securing a majority that heralded a new era of political realignment around their multiracial dominance. That majority has not yet materialized. Meanwhile, Donald Trump's hostile takeover of the Republican Party has transformed the GOP into a party completely beholden to him, embracing election denialism, conspiracy theories, and policies that are far out of step with the country beyond his base. The efforts of Republicans and Democrats are buffeted by dramatic and unpredictable cultural and economic shifts. The generational divide between Baby Boomers and Gen X on one side and Millennials and Gen Z on the other has become a fault line of lived experiences, cultural values, financial realities, and political beliefs. This is all further complicated by chaotic realignments on lines of race and gender.

And underneath it all is a political system under unprecedented pressure. Our democracy faces its most severe test since the Civil War. The aspirations contained in the Declaration of Independence and the systems built by the Constitution are no longer universally accepted. The Republican Party, led by Trump, seeks to accelerate the accumulation of presidential power and limit the Constitution's phraseology of "We, the People" to "We, the Wealthy" or "We, the Cultural Warriors." The final denouement of this political saga has yet to be written, but Trump's election leaves us with the possibility of two unfamiliar outcomes--a brand of American authoritarianism or the establishment of a multicultural republic.

At the close of the Constitutional Convention, Benjamin Franklin was asked by a bystander what kind of government the framers had wrought. Franklin's famous answer was, "A republic, if you can keep it." Keeping the republic will depend on the fallout from the last three unprecedented election cycles. Ultimately, our future is up to us.

John Kenneth White is emeritus professor of politics at The Catholic University of America. In addition to his regular column in The Hill, he is the author of many books, including Grand Old Unraveling: The Republican Party, Donald Trump, and the Rise of Authoritarianism, also from Kansas.

Matthew R. Kerbel is emeritus professor of political science at Villanova University. He is the author of the popular political Substack Wolves and Sheep. In addition to many other books, he is the coauthor, with John Kenneth White, of American Political Parties: Why They Formed, How They Function, and Where They're Headed, also from Kansas.